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Using our online tools and data, members learn how to do
the following and much much more!
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Learn to anticipate
future turning points before they happen using
statistical COT measures and price patterns.
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Track large speculator (fund) activity to determine
when markets are vulnerable for a sell-off or a rally.
For example, we know markets are more vulnerable for a sell-off when
a great deal of speculative longs are in the market. We call
this a "wound up spec long position". This scenario indicates
large speculators are holding profits on a large net-long position.
They are very exposed at this point. If the market simply
experiences a small hiccup, a great deal of their profits can
evaporate. Think about it. If you are long a market and
adding to positions as prices move higher and higher, you
essentially continue to double up with the trend. At the extreme
high you will be very vulnerable. A small counter-trend move
(down) can quickly wipe out your profits. At this point in
time you become more nervous and aware of the risk. Your
finger is on the Sell Button! This is precisely what we
monitor and look for using the COT data! And it works
the same and just as well in reverse. When large speculators
are holding a large short position, they can become overexposed in
this side as well. A small bounce can wipe out a significant
portion of their profits and they become very aware and nervous
about this. Thus, the market becomes more "vulnerable" to
short-covering, and that is FUEL for a RALLY!
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Spot divergence in large speculator positioning
versus price. We've seen this time and time again. Large
speculators are the "smart traders"! They often begin exiting
bull or bear markets BEFORE a major top or bottom is formed.
Many new traders make the mistake of thinking the commercials are
the "smart traders", but they are not. The commercials are
hedgers in the physical markets. They do have greater
access to the underlying fundamentals, and that's why we also pay
very close attention to their hedging activities. But they are
not speculating in the way that the large traders (funds) are.
We must get into the minds of both participants (speculators and
physical hedgers) to gauge market vulnerabilities and longer-term
price direction. Traders learn these tactics here!
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All our data and indicators are online! No additional
software or charting services are required! Just point and click to
access our market studies, various price graphs, reports, manuals, daily and weekly automated plunger
reports, contract rollover information and
much much more!
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