I first discovered this trade in the early 1990's. The first official time I traded it was in 1995 (brokerage statement included below). Last year (2003) was a record year for this trade as it coincided with an IMPA buy setup (first time that has happened in soybeans since the 1997 trade (brokerage statements included for both 1997 and 1995 the first year I traded it below).
August 2003
Fall Soybean Option trade coincides
with an IMPA buy setup in soybeans.
The results are explosive!
This
is the graph of the IMPA Buy (Trigger) Selection - This is the core
Fundamental signal.
This
is our actual price graph during the fall of 2003 when this IMPA buy
occurred.
This
is a subsequent daily price graph in the weeks that followed this official
IMPA Buy.
One
more subsequent daily price graph with my remarks to our members at the
time.
This
is our weekly price graph showing a Blue-Diamond "BUY" coinciding
with the IMPA buy
This is
a subsequent weekly price graph after the new trend began.
This
is my brokerage statement showing my exit out of one of the options, for
better than 900% profit!
(I entered several option positions at 10.5 ($525ea) and sold the one in
this statement at 97 ($4850)!
This is NOT merely back-tested data. This in fact is a REAL
TRADE that REALLY happened and I am providing my brokerage statement above
as proof. And its not a one time deal either. Here's
the brokerage statement showing the first time I actually took the seasonal
fall option in soybeans (in 1995). That's close to the time
when I first isolated this particular pattern (which I isolated in the early
90's). In addition, the graphs provided here were not generated with
the benefit of hind-sight. These are real snap-shots of the graphs as this
trade unfolded in real time (day by day updates). These are the same
graphs members have accessed to (updated on the site) and discussed in my
reports.
As
promised, here is my 1997 Brokerage statement for the same trade (same
trade, different year) again as well.
The key to our soybean option trades (spring and fall trades as well as the
option spread trades) is in identifying the appropriate strike price based
on the futures (this information is proprietary and provided to members
only). Again, of key importance is the spread between the price
of the futures and the strike. This, and the timing (during specific
seasonal influences) is crucial for determining optimum entry points to
maximize returns. Furthermore, the returns for this trade shown in the
brokerage statements for 1997 and 2003 were larger than for example the 1995
trade because in both 1997 and 2003 we had official bullish IMPA conditions
coinciding with this seasonal options trade. And as mentioned, the 2003
trade represented a new record size profit for this particular trade
(statement provided above).
Risk Disclosure: Past
performance is not indicative of future results. There is no guarantee
that any account (including my own) will be able to duplicate these trading
results (profits) in the future. No trading system or method can guarantee
profits. All trading is risky and may not be appropriate for all types
of investors and/or traders. You should never trade with money you can
not afford to lose. Trading is not my only means of income.
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My personal guarantee is a 200%
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NO TRADING SYSTEM CAN
GUARANTEE PROFITS
No guarantees can be made for
success. Past performance is not a guarantee of future profits.
Futures trading is NOT my only means of income. I also
invest in stocks, real estate as well as
generate income from
other businesses. I have both winning trades and losing trades.
I trade professionally, but not daily. I wait for what I believe to be
ideal trading opportunities.
Very Respectfully,
Floyd W. Upperman Jr.
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F L O Y D U P P E R M A N & A
S S O C I A T E S
Copyright © 1997 - 2001 by Floyd Upperman & Associates. All rights reserved.
Revised: 07 Jul 2005 14:22:18 -0400.
Futures Trading is a risky business.
Do not trade with money you
can not afford to lose.
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Only those who will
risk going too far can possibly find out how far one can go.
T. S. Eliot
American-British
Poet